Table 1. Parameters and their values or functions used to calculate their values used in the Ivory Gull colony persistence model for Ellesmere Island and Devon Island.

Parameter Value or function
Number of colonies 24
Initial population size 225 pairs in 17 occupied colonies;
13 ± 31 pairs per occupied site (mean ± SD)
Probability of extinction
Probability of colonization 0.189 ± 0.054 (mean ± SE)
Size of colonies that persist Nt+1 = 0.755 ± 0.132Nt
Size of colonies that are newly colonized 7.7 ± 12.3 (mean ± SD; drawn from a skewed distribution)